English  |  正體中文  |  简体中文  |  Items with full text/Total items : 43236/136804
Visitors : 2066974      Online Users : 73
RC Version 3.1 © Powered By DSPACE, MIT. Enhanced by NTU Library IR team.
Scope Adv. Search
Login ‧ Upload ‧ Help ‧ About ‧ Administer

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://ntur.lib.ntu.edu.tw/handle/246246/11023

Title: 國土規劃與土地利用模擬之研究--以台北都會區為例─子計畫二：台北都會區都市發展模式之研究（III）
Authors: 林峰田
Contributors: 國立臺灣大學全球變遷研究中心
Keywords: 都市土地利用模擬;宮格自動機;複雜系統
Urban Land-use Simulation
Model;Cellular Automata;Complex System
Date: 2004
Issue Date: 2006-07-25T10:18:43Z
Publisher: 臺北市：國立臺灣大學全球變遷研究中心
Abstract: 本研究延續前期之成果，結合傳統的人口成長數理模型、地理資訊系統以及
宮格自動機(Cellular Automata， CA)電腦模擬技術，模擬台北市人口之成長與移
動情形，並於模式中結合交通可及性之觀點，推論捷運站興建後，捷運可及性對
周邊不同區位人口之數量與區位變化之影響。進一步，本研究亦探討不同地震防
災空間土地使用管制政策，對於城鄉發展所可能造成的影響，俾提供都市規劃者
決策之參考。
本研究以台北縣市為範圍，將之細分為120 公尺見方之網格系統。本研究依
據統計要覽之資料，考慮土地使用分區類別暨民國81 年內政部地政司之國土利
用調查基本資料，將民82 至92 之人口分派至各網格。然後，依據人口成長趨勢，
利用空間統計之聚集分析技術，考量各網格與周邊網格人口、土地使用之空間相
關性，以及附近捷運交通條件，建立內湖線捷運車站周邊人口成長模式，分別估
定其成長係數。進一步本研究針對斷層帶禁建防災空間政策進行探討，延續前期
之成果以宮格自動機理論進行模擬，探討不同禁建政策對人口空間結構的影響，
以期提供政策制訂者作為政策評估的依據。
In recent years, the integration of Cellular Automata (CA) and GIS in the
simulation of city evolution has gotten a lot of achievements. The traditional urban
theories often adopt static numeral analysis, but the evolution of urban lands are often
involving in economics, transportation, facility management, environment, ecology,
society and politics factors. To pursue more precise planning result, we must consider
these factors when deal with the Nation Land Used Planning. With the traditional
urban theorem, it can’t be satisfied all the demands mentioned above. In the recent
years, new integration models of combining tradition model, GIS and CA have
attracted much attention to planners.
This research uses the GIS raster data and combines the CA theorem to simulate
the Taipei land used development considering flood, mudflows, and fault. This
research also uses the component object model protocol to develop integration
software of CA and GIS. By using several evolution parameters to simulate the
different land development policies and calibrating with actual Taipei land use data,
the result of parameters can be used to predicting the evolution of the future land use.
Appears in Collections:[Global Change Research Center] Research Project

Files in This Item:

File Description SizeFormat
922621Z002008.pdf1045KbAdobe PDF448View/Open


All items in NTUR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved.

 
DSpace Software Copyright © 2002-2004  MIT &  Hewlett-Packard  /   Enhanced by   NTU Library IR team  - Feedback